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Thursday, January 14,2010

Democrats' Rocky Mountain high takes a tumble in Colorado

By McClatchy-Tribune News Service

DENVER — It was less than 18 months ago that the Democratic Party declared this region its new base.

Barack Obama claimed the party's presidential nomination at a football stadium here, in a state where Democrats had won the governorship, both houses of the state Legislature, and were about to pick up both U.S. Senate seats.

Now President Obama and his party's approval ratings in the West are lower than elsewhere in the country. Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter Jr. abruptly announced this month that he would not seek re-election. The state's junior senator is trailing badly in the polls. Analysts think Democrats could even lose their majorities in the Legislature.

"To lose this state at this moment, almost across the board, is a pretty profound statement that that party is in deep trouble," said Floyd Ciruli, a Denver-based independent pollster.

With the Latino population growing and progressive-minded transplants from coastal states moving in, Democratic strategists had hoped that the interior West — as distinct from the party's base on the Pacific Coast — would eventually become reliably Democratic territory.

There are signs, however, that the independent-minded region is rejecting the party's agenda.

The party has a 53 percent disapproval rating in the Western U.S., excluding the longtime Democratic stronghold of California, according to a recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.

When asked if they would prefer a Republican or a Democrat on a generic congressional ballot, Western voters are 11 percent more likely to choose Republican over Democrat, while nationwide Democrats have a 1 percent edge. Obama's disapproval rating in the region is 53 percent, compared with 46 percent nationally.

And Western Democrats are threatened across the region, from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who trails in the polls in his home state, Nevada, to members of Congress in Idaho, New Mexico, Arizona and Colorado.

Western voters "were enticed by leaders in the Democratic Party who promised to deliver something different," said Nicole McChesney, a Republican pollster based in New Mexico. "But now they're showing their true, big-government colors, and they don't wear well in the West."

In Colorado, Democrats acknowledge that the situation is tough but contend that it has nothing to do with their policies.

"This is not unusual in tough economic times. People question everything," said Terrance Carroll, the speaker of the Colorado House. But, he added, "we're still in a very strong position."

As recently as 2004, the state was Republican country. It solidly backed George W. Bush in 2000, and the GOP had the governor's office, both U.S. Senate seats and both houses of the Legislature.

Then the Democrats took it all back, touting themselves as a can-do, pragmatic party not bound by the GOP's social conservatism. First, former state Attorney General Ken Salazar won a Senate seat and Democrats captured the Legislature in 2004. In 2006, Ritter, the former district attorney of Denver, won the governor's race. In 2008, Obama won the state by 9 percentage points and a Democrat captured the other Senate seat.

The party's troubles began soon thereafter.

Obama picked Salazar to be his Interior secretary. Rather than selecting an experienced politician, Ritter chose the superintendent of Denver schools, Michael Bennet, to fill the open Senate seat. That outraged many party members, including former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff, who was passed over and is challenging Bennet in the primary.

Colorado has weathered the economic downturn relatively well, but, like governors everywhere, Ritter has had to cut crucial government services and raise fees to balance the state budget. He instituted furlough days for state workers and a program to allow felons out of prison early. He has lagged in the polls behind his probable Republican challenger, former Rep. Scott McInnis, and has struggled to raise money.

When Ritter announced that he would not run for re-election, Democrats said it was unrelated to his standing in the polls.

"This allows me to focus on the things that should be the most important: taking care of my family and taking care of the state of Colorado," Ritter said.

Salazar said he was not interested in running in Ritter's place, but Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper, a Democrat, announced Tuesday that he would run. Hickenlooper is popular, but a recent poll showed him 3 points behind McInnis.

Bob Loevy, a political science professor at Colorado College, said Democrats in the state were "victims of their own success. It's not that they've done anything wrong — this always happens when a party wins a lot and things don't go well nationally."

David Wasserman, who tracks congressional races for the Cook Political Report in Washington, said Democrats could take heart in the long-term demographics of the region: rising number of Latinos and younger, college-educated whites, who are usually reliable votes for the party.

"But what is encouraging for Democrats in the long term is discouraging in 2010," he said. "We're going to see a big drop-off in younger voters," two-thirds of whom backed Obama in 2008, Wasserman said. That will hurt the party's ability to hold on to its Western seats.

Loevy is skeptical that demographics give Democrats any long-term edge in Colorado. "Colorado mainly follows national trends in its voting behavior," he said. "The best thing they had going for them was that they had an unpopular Republican administration in Washington."

Dick Wadhams, chairman of the Colorado Republican Party, contends that the state's loyalties change constantly. Indeed, even though Democrats were largely shut out here between 1994 and 2004, the party often did well in the 1970s and '80s.

"I know that Democrats thought good times would last forever and they had built a permanent situation in Colorado," Wadhams said. "But no party can build a permanent fortress in this state."

(c) 2010, Los Angeles Times.

Visit the Los Angeles Times on the Internet at http://www.latimes.com/

Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.

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Bill Ritter is Governor?? This blog must be 6 years old. Whatever happened to Hickenlooper??



Oh, so Coloradans decided that socialism doesn't sit well out west? I guess the Dems thought communism would catch on there as it has in the notheast and left coast.




The Rocky Mountain states are not the only states, all states are now recognizing that this President and the Democratic Party never had their interest in mind. They promoted emotion that had nothing to do with the realities that the people were faced.  Although, those of us TPers, as referred to by the left(we are actually your mothers/fathers or grandparents who are tired of our representatives screwing us) would agree that the Wall Street Corporations are obtaining a disproportinate of tax brakes, we also need them. But who do not need is a government that is so large it controls all facets of our life, example is Obamacare, it is destroying our country and especially our childrens lives.  We conservatives also have children and we are doing our best to protect their interest and wouldn't it also be of your interest, we do know that red is the color of all people's blood, contrary to the left wing Marxist.  Listen, young people and other Democrats, take the time to study some history about those leaders(Lenin, Marx, Hitler, Tung) and you will see why us old geezers are concerned.



The Obama Care Package or law, which ever you prefer to call it is a SHAM being forced upon us by an arrogant and shameless President and his Merry Band of Political Henchmen, who could care less what the effect is on the American Public or the American Economy. The Democratic Party is trying its damnedest to push the politics of this country from freedom to a Socialistic Format. An example is Hillary Clinton when referring to her failed Health Plan "We just think people will be too focused on saving money and they won't get the care for their children and themselves that they need . . ."The money has to go to the federal government because the federal government will spend that money better." Or Nancy Pelosi 2010 comment about Obama Care “ We have to pass the Law to find out what’s in it” This is exactly how the Democrats think. They have no regard or respect of the American Citizen.  We the American Citizens are the only ones who can put a stop to this process, but it will require you to get off you ass and Protest the government and fight for the return of our rights as promised us in the Constitution.



Notice how everytime the progressives get into polling numbers difficulty they all decide to focus on their family and "regroup". The family didn't seem so important when they decided to run for office.